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4th & Data (@4thanddata)

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📊 Fantasy football & Sports Betting, backed by the math Every call backtested Everyone punts. We go for it. ⬇️

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  • TE Start or Sit, Week 7 📊 ▪️ Start George Kittle. The Falcons allow the eleventh most to tight… – video by @4thanddata , 109 views, duration 0:59

    TE Start or Sit, Week 7 📊 ▪️ Start George Kittle. The Falcons allow the eleventh most to tight ends, and the 49ers are projected for 26 and a half. That's three stars. ▪️ Sit Travis Kelce. He's 3 and a half points over his usage, and the Chiefs are only projected for 20. That's one star. ▪️ Start Tucker Kraft. The Lions allow the most to tight ends, and the Packers are projected for 25. That's four stars. ▪️ Sit Harold Fannin. The Browns, favored by 1 and a half, throw just 48 percent when up a touchdown, and they're only projected for 20. That's one star. ▪️ Start Pat Freiermuth. The Saints allow the sixth most to tight ends, and the Steelers are projected for 24. That's three stars. ▪️ Sit Juwan Johnson. The Saints are only projected for 20 and a half, and the Steelers allow the fourteenth fewest to tight ends. That's two stars. Not sure who to start this week? Drop your start-sit questions in the comments. #fantasyfootball #fantasyfootballadvice #nfl #week7 #startsit

  • WR Start or Sit, Week 7 📊 ▪️ Start Malik Nabers. The Texans allow the fourth most to receivers… – video by @4thanddata , 2.2K views, duration 0:58

    WR Start or Sit, Week 7 📊 ▪️ Start Malik Nabers. The Texans allow the fourth most to receivers, and the Giants are 10 point underdogs. That's three stars. ▪️ Sit Xavier Worthy. The Chiefs are only projected for 20, and the Seahawks allow the third fewest to receivers. That's one star. ▪️ Start Tee Higgins. The Bengals are projected for 24, the Ravens allow the eleventh most to receivers, and they're 3 point underdogs. That's four stars. ▪️ Sit Tre Tucker. He's 2 and a half points over his usage, and the Rams allow the fourth fewest to receivers. That's three stars. ▪️ Start Michael Wilson. He's 6 points under his usage, and the Cardinals are 4 and a half point underdogs. That's three stars. ▪️ Sit Josh Downs. The Colts are only projected for 17 and a half, and the Vikings allow the fifth fewest to receivers. That's three stars. Not sure who to start this week? Drop your start-sit questions in the comments. #fantasyfootball #fantasyfootballadvice #nfl #week7 #startsit

  • RB Start or Sit, Week 7 📊 ▪️ Start Kyren Williams. The Raiders allow the eighth most to running… – video by @4thanddata , 127 views, duration 1:21

    RB Start or Sit, Week 7 📊 ▪️ Start Kyren Williams. The Raiders allow the eighth most to running backs, and the Rams are 4 and a half point favorites, so they should run late. That's four stars. ▪️ Sit Jonathan Taylor. The Vikings allow the fewest to running backs, and the Colts are only projected for 17 and a half. That's one star. ▪️ Start Jaylen Warren. The Steelers are projected for 24, he's getting 5 targets a game, and the Saints allow the most to running backs. That's four stars. ▪️ Sit Tony Pollard. The Browns allow the second fewest to running backs, and the Titans are only projected for 18 and a half. That's one star. ▪️ Start JK Dobbins. He's 3 points under his usage, and the Broncos are 4 and a half point favorites, so they should run late. That's three stars. ▪️ Sit Tyler Allgeier. The Cardinals are only projected for 19 and a half, and he's getting just 2.3 targets a game. That's no stars. ▪️ Sneaky starts, Aaron Jones and Jordan Mason. Check if Mason's active. The Colts allow the sixth most to running backs, and the Vikings are 6 and a half point favorites. That's four stars. ▪️ Sit Cam Skattebo. The Giants are only projected for 16, and the Texans allow the eleventh fewest to running backs. That's one star. Not sure who to start this week? Drop your start-sit questions in the comments. #fantasyfootball #fantasyfootballadvice #nfl #week7 #startsit

  • QB Start or Sit, Week 7 📊 ▪️ Start Jordan Love. The Lions allow the most to quarterbacks, and the… – video by @4thanddata , 391 views, duration 0:58

    QB Start or Sit, Week 7 📊 ▪️ Start Jordan Love. The Lions allow the most to quarterbacks, and the Packers are 3 point underdogs. That's four stars. ▪️ Sit Patrick Mahomes. He's 4 points over his usage, and the Chiefs are only projected for 20. That's one star. ▪️ Start Matthew Stafford. The Rams are projected for 26, and the Raiders allow the sixth most to quarterbacks. That's three stars. ▪️ Sit Sam Darnold. The Seahawks, favored by 2 and a half, throw just 37 percent when up a touchdown, and the Chiefs allow the third fewest to quarterbacks. That's one star. ▪️ Start Dak Prescott. The Eagles allow the eighth most to quarterbacks, and the Cowboys are projected for 24 and a half. That's three stars. ▪️ Sit Tyler Shough. The Saints are only projected for 20 and a half, and the Steelers allow the fourth fewest to quarterbacks. That's two stars. Not sure who to start this week? Drop your start-sit questions in the comments. #fantasyfootball #fantasyfootballadvice #nfl #week7 #startsit

  • TE Rankings, Week 7 📊 ▪️ Bowers leads, with a top-five week in 61 percent of our simulations. He's… – video by @4thanddata , 329 views, duration 0:48

    TE Rankings, Week 7 📊 ▪️ Bowers leads, with a top-five week in 61 percent of our simulations. He's questionable, so check his status before kickoff. Then McBride and Kittle. ▪️ Kelce has the toughest draw here. The Seahawks allow the third fewest to tight ends. And Vegas has the Chiefs scoring just 20. Tyler Higbee is the pickup, on just 20 percent of rosters, so he's probably on your waiver wire. ▪️ Close call: start Sam LaPorta over Isaiah Likely. Vegas has the Lions at 28, and for Likely, Vegas has the Giants at just 16. ▪️ Another one: start Tucker Kraft over Harold Fannin Jr. The Lions allow the most to tight ends, and for Fannin, the Titans allow the ninth fewest. Want our full tight end rankings for free? Find them on our X account, @4thandDataFF. #fantasyfootball #fantasyfootballadvice #nfl #week7 #fantasyrankings

  • WR Rankings, Week 7 📊 ▪️ Nacua leads, with a top-five week in 54 percent of our simulations. The… – video by @4thanddata , 762 views, duration 0:46

    WR Rankings, Week 7 📊 ▪️ Nacua leads, with a top-five week in 54 percent of our simulations. The tough draw up here is Smith-Njigba. The Chiefs allow the fewest to receivers. ▪️ Flowers is scoring 18.9 a game on usage worth just 13.8, so don't count on that every week. Wilson has the toughest draw here. The Dolphins allow the second fewest to receivers. ▪️ Need a flex? George Pickens is our WR18. The Eagles allow the third most to receivers, Vegas has the Cowboys at 24.5, and his ceiling is 22.1. ▪️ Collins is scoring 18.4 a game on usage worth 14.7. Expect a cool-off. Want our full receiver rankings for free? Find them on our X account, @4thandDataFF. #fantasyfootball #fantasyfootballadvice #nfl #week7 #fantasyrankings

  • RB Rankings, Week 7 📊 ▪️ Gibbs is alone at the top, a top-five week in 67 percent of our… – video by @4thanddata , 1.3K views, duration 0:57

    RB Rankings, Week 7 📊 ▪️ Gibbs is alone at the top, a top-five week in 67 percent of our simulations. ▪️ Taylor has the toughest draw here. The Vikings allow the fewest to running backs. And Vegas has the Colts scoring just 17.5. We're lower than the consensus on Chuba Hubbard. The Buccaneers allow the fourth fewest to running backs. ▪️ Close call: start Jaylen Warren over Chuba Hubbard. The Saints allow the most to running backs, and for Hubbard, the Buccaneers allow the fourth fewest. ▪️ Another one: start Woody Marks over Tony Pollard. Vegas has the Texans at 26, and for Pollard, the Browns allow the second fewest to running backs. ▪️ Walker is scoring 27.6 a game on usage worth 23. Expect a cool-off. Jeanty is the opposite, 16.7 on usage worth 20.2. Better days are coming. Want our full running back rankings for free? Find them on our X account, @4thandDataFF. #fantasyfootball #fantasyfootballadvice #nfl #week7 #fantasyrankings

  • QB Rankings, Week 7 📊 ▪️ Maye leads, with a top-five week in 40 percent of our simulations. Love… – video by @4thanddata , 256 views, duration 0:40

    QB Rankings, Week 7 📊 ▪️ Maye leads, with a top-five week in 40 percent of our simulations. Love is questionable, so check his status before kickoff. Then Purdy and Burrow. The tough draw up here is Goff. The Packers allow the fifth fewest to quarterbacks. ▪️ Stroud faces a run funnel, a Giants defense teams run on instead. Williams has the toughest draw here. The Patriots allow the sixth fewest to quarterbacks. ▪️ One deep sleeper, J.J. McCarthy, on just 16 percent of rosters. The Texans allow the twelfth most to quarterbacks. Want our full quarterback rankings for free? Find them on our X account, @4thandDataFF. #fantasyfootball #fantasyfootballadvice #nfl #week7 #fantasyrankings

  • TNF Breakdown, Week 7 📊 ▪️ Most often it's the Bears by more than 3 points, about half of the… – video by @4thanddata , 487 views, duration 1:29

    TNF Breakdown, Week 7 📊 ▪️ Most often it's the Bears by more than 3 points, about half of the sims. Overall the Bears win 61 percent, and the median final is 27 to 24. ▪️ The Bears lean on the run, only 2 teams pass less, and they throw short, only 2 teams throw shorter. As a favorite, Williams averages 19 points over 14 games. ▪️ With Caleb, D'Andre Swift scores 22.8 a game. Without him, 11.8. With Monangai out, Swift's targets jump from 2.8 to 5. Tonight looks like Week 6, Caleb in and Monangai out. Swift scored 23. ▪️ Maye scrambles more than any quarterback but four. When they lose, Maye drops from 22.1 to 17.4, and Stevenson from 13.5 to 9.4. ▪️ Our matchup sheet says smash the Bears at running back. They're projected for 27, the third most this week. ▪️ In the sims, Maye is the game's top scorer most often, 25 percent. When the Bears win big, Williams averages 22.9. If the Patriots pull the upset, Maye jumps to 25 and Brown to 17.9. ▪️ For DFS, our top Showdown build captains D'Andre Swift with Williams and Burden, brings it back with Rhamondre Stevenson, and saves salary with Roschon Johnson. Who are you captaining tonight? Drop it in the comments. #fantasyfootball #fantasyfootballadvice #nfl #week7 #thursdaynightfootball

  • Rookies vs Veterans, Week 7 📊 ▪️ Rookies went from 6.1 points a game in the first half to 7.1 in… – video by @4thanddata , 369 views, duration 0:58

    Rookies vs Veterans, Week 7 📊 ▪️ Rookies went from 6.1 points a game in the first half to 7.1 in the second. Veterans went from 8.5 to 8.3. ▪️ That's a 1.2 point gap. But anyone who starts slow drifts back toward average, rookie or not. So we matched each rookie with veterans who started at the same level. Rookies still gain 0.7 points a game more. ▪️ Rookies gained more than those veterans in all sixteen seasons we tested. ▪️ It's strongest at receiver, plus 0.7 a game, and running back, plus 0.6. Quarterback and tight end are too noisy to call. ▪️ The 2026 rookies who fit right now, all receivers: Denzel Boston at 11.9 a game, Carnell Tate at 11.2, and Germie Bernard at 10.6. Which rookie are you riding the rest of the way? Video: NFL #fantasyfootball #fantasyfootballadvice #nfl #week7 #nflfantasy

  • D/ST Streamers, Week 7 📊 ▪️ The Cowboys, ranked seventh, on 12 percent of rosters. Favored by 4.5… – video by @4thanddata , 1.4K views, duration 0:41

    D/ST Streamers, Week 7 📊 ▪️ The Cowboys, ranked seventh, on 12 percent of rosters. Favored by 4.5 over the Eagles. ▪️ The Titans, ranked sixth, on 11 percent of rosters. The Browns are expected to score 20. ▪️ The Browns, ranked fourth, on 48 percent of rosters. Favored by 1.5 over the Titans. ▪️ The one we teased, the Jets, ranked second, on 46 percent of rosters. Favored by 4.5 over the Dolphins. Who are you streaming? #fantasyfootball #fantasyfootballadvice #nfl #week7 #waiverwire

  • 🌊 Week 7 streamers, all under 50% rostered ▪️ QB: Geno Smith vs the Dolphins, projected 17.2… – video by @4thanddata , 886 views, duration 0:36

    🌊 Week 7 streamers, all under 50% rostered ▪️ QB: Geno Smith vs the Dolphins, projected 17.2, rostered in 8% of leagues ▪️ WR: Omar Cooper Jr. vs the Dolphins, projected 10.6, rostered in 23% of leagues ▪️ TE: Tyler Higbee vs the Raiders, projected 9.5, rostered in 20% of leagues. The Raiders allow the 7th most to tight ends #fantasyfootball #fantasyfootballadvice #nfl #week7 #waiverwire

  • Fades, Week 7 📊 ▪️ We grade these calls in public every week, and they've hit 61 percent. A smash… – video by @4thanddata , 367 views, duration 1:07

    Fades, Week 7 📊 ▪️ We grade these calls in public every week, and they've hit 61 percent. A smash beats the group's own average. A fade falls short. ▪️ Fade the Colts at all four positions. No, we're never sitting Taylor, but don't be surprised if he scores under his usual. The Vikings allow the fewest to running backs. ▪️ Fade the Dolphins at quarterback, receiver and tight end. They're only projected for 17, the second fewest this week, and the Jets allow the third fewest to quarterbacks. ▪️ Fade the Chiefs at quarterback, receiver and tight end. We told you to sit Mahomes last week, and it was the right call. This week we're fading him again. The Seahawks allow the fewest to quarterbacks. ▪️ Fade the Giants at running back and tight end. They're only projected for 16, the fewest this week, and the Texans allow the seventh fewest to running backs. ▪️ Fade the Titans at running back. The Browns allow the eleventh fewest to running backs, and the Titans are only projected for 18 and a half, the fourth fewest this week. See the full Week 7 matchup sheet on our X account, @4thandDataFF. #fantasyfootball #fantasyfootballadvice #nfl #week7 #nflfantasy

  • Smashes, Week 7 📊 ▪️ We grade these calls in public every week, and they've hit 61 percent. A… – video by @4thanddata , 448 views, duration 0:53

    Smashes, Week 7 📊 ▪️ We grade these calls in public every week, and they've hit 61 percent. A smash beats the group's own average. A fade falls short. ▪️ Smash the Packers at quarterback, receiver and tight end. The Lions allow the most to quarterbacks, and the Packers are projected for 25. ▪️ Smash the Lions at running back. They're projected for 28, the most this week. ▪️ Smash the Ravens at tight end. The Bengals allow the third most to tight ends, and the Ravens are projected for 27, the second most this week. ▪️ Smash the Bears at running back. They're projected for 27, the third most this week. ▪️ Smash the Texans at running back. The Giants allow the third most to running backs, and the Texans are projected for 26, the fifth most this week. See the full Week 7 matchup sheet on our X account, @4thandDataFF. #fantasyfootball #fantasyfootballadvice #nfl #week7 #nflfantasy

  • Waiver Wire, Week 7 📊 ▪️ Number one, Antonio Williams. Terry McLaurin tore his patellar tendon… – video by @4thanddata , 1K views, duration 1:00

    Waiver Wire, Week 7 📊 ▪️ Number one, Antonio Williams. Terry McLaurin tore his patellar tendon Monday night and is out for the season. Washington is on bye this week, so Williams is a Week 8 starter. ▪️ Number two, Tre Tucker. 78.5 points through 6 weeks, 18th among wide receivers. ▪️ Number three, Malik Washington. 36 targets in 5 games, 28 percent of Miami's targets. ▪️ Number four, Keenan Allen. Alec Pierce is on injured reserve ahead of him on the depth chart. ▪️ Number five, Omar Cooper Jr. He came back from injured reserve in Week 6, caught a touchdown, and played 82 percent of the snaps. ▪️ Number six, Chig Okonkwo. Terry McLaurin is out for the season, and Washington is on bye in Week 7. ▪️ Number seven, Michael Mayer. Who are you bidding on? #fantasyfootball #fantasyfootballadvice #nfl #week7 #waiverwire

  • Bad Week Report, Week 6 📊 ▪️ Number five, Derrick Henry. Projected 15.5, scored 5. Usage worth… – video by @4thanddata , 1.1K views, duration 0:55

    Bad Week Report, Week 6 📊 ▪️ Number five, Derrick Henry. Projected 15.5, scored 5. Usage worth 15.8, the work was there. ▪️ Number four, Patrick Mahomes. Projected 21, scored 10.5. Usage worth just 14.1. ▪️ Number three, Bo Nix. Projected 16.6, scored 4.5. Usage worth just 10.5. ▪️ Number two, Cam Skattebo. Projected 13.9, scored 0. The Giants benched him, and on Tuesday they released Najee Harris. ▪️ The worst week of all, Bijan Robinson. Projected 22, scored 7.3. Usage worth just 7.1. Who sank your week? #fantasyfootball #fantasyfootballadvice #nfl #week6 #nflfantasy

  • Receiving Report, Week 6 📊 ▪️ Week 6 at receiver. Malik Nabers led everyone with 28.5 points, on… – video by @4thanddata , 957 views, duration 1:18

    Receiving Report, Week 6 📊 ▪️ Week 6 at receiver. Malik Nabers led everyone with 28.5 points, on 12 catches for 165 yards. CeeDee Lamb saw the most targets, 18. ▪️ Week 6 against the usage. Tre Tucker scored 26.7 on usage worth 13.2. CeeDee Lamb got the looks, usage worth 31.3, and scored 16. ▪️ On target share, Emeka Egbuka saw 39 percent of his team's targets in Week 6. The biggest jump was Jalen Coker, 37 percent, up from 24 percent on the season. ▪️ Inside the 10, George Kittle saw 3 targets, the most of any receiver, and caught 1 touchdown. ▪️ The injuries heading into Week 7. Adams is out 6 to 10 weeks with a torn hamstring. Behind him, Mumpfield saw 3 targets in Week 6. Evans is expected to miss Week 7. Mitchell missed Week 6, and his Week 7 status isn't set yet. In his place, Cooper saw 7 targets. Brown is on the injury report, and his Week 7 status isn't set yet. Behind him, Douglas saw 8 targets. Which receiver are you buying? #fantasyfootball #fantasyfootballadvice #nfl #week6 #nflfantasy

  • Running Back Report, Week 6 📊 ▪️ Week 6 at running back. Christian McCaffrey led everyone with… – video by @4thanddata , 1.3K views, duration 1:06

    Running Back Report, Week 6 📊 ▪️ Week 6 at running back. Christian McCaffrey led everyone with 30.7 points, on 16 carries, 9 catches and 2 touchdowns. Chuba Hubbard had the most carries, 28, for 120 yards. ▪️ Week 6 against the usage. Bhayshul Tuten scored 24.7 on usage worth 14.4. Derrick Henry got the work, usage worth 15.8, and scored 5. ▪️ The closest backfield split in Week 6 was New England, Stevenson with 14 touches and Kiner with 11. In the Chargers' backfield, Hampton had 11 and Vidal 11. ▪️ Inside the 10, Kenneth Walker III got 8 touches, the most of any back, and scored 2 touchdowns. ▪️ The injuries heading into Week 7. Hall, Judkins and Monangai missed Week 6, and none has a Week 7 status yet. In their place, Allen had 19 touches, McLaughlin 13 and Swift 21. Which back are you buying? #fantasyfootball #fantasyfootballadvice #nfl #week6 #nflfantasy

  • Matchup Receipts, Week 6 📊 ▪️ Every Week 6 call was locked before kickoff. 11 of 18 hit. ▪️ Smash… – video by @4thanddata , 18 views, duration 1:07

    Matchup Receipts, Week 6 📊 ▪️ Every Week 6 call was locked before kickoff. 11 of 18 hit. ▪️ Smash calls went 4 of 9. Fades went 7 of 9. ▪️ Best smash, Bills running backs against the Raiders. Expected 25.6, they scored 30.9. Best fade, Broncos receivers. Expected 30, they scored 14.8. ▪️ The biggest miss, our smash on Rams receivers. Expected 42.1, they scored 24.4. ▪️ For the season, 83 of 135 matchup calls have hit, 61 percent. ▪️ Our Start-sit calls went 14 of 24. Best call, starting Tyler Shough, the number 2 quarterback. Worst, starting Cam Skattebo, the number 71 running back. ▪️ Our best bets went 3 and 3 this week. They're 20 and 7 on the season. What was your best call this week? #fantasyfootball #fantasyfootballadvice #nfl #week6 #nflfantasy

  • MNF Breakdown, Week 6 📊 ▪️ Most often it's the 49ers by more than a touchdown, about half of the… – video by @4thanddata , 1.4K views, duration 1:25

    MNF Breakdown, Week 6 📊 ▪️ Most often it's the 49ers by more than a touchdown, about half of the sims. Overall the 49ers win 74 percent, and the median final is 29 to 22. ▪️ The 49ers throw more than expected, 5th most in the league, and the Commanders defense gives up 51 more passing yards than its opponents usually gain. With Purdy starting as a favorite, McCaffrey averages 24.9 points over 35 games. ▪️ The Commanders lean on the run, 24th in pass rate on neutral downs. Daniels scrambles more than any quarterback but one. When they lose, Daniels drops from 24.4 to 18.1, and McLaurin from 16.4 to 11.1. ▪️ Our matchup sheet says smash the 49ers at quarterback, receiver and tight end. The Commanders allow the second most to quarterbacks and the third most to tight ends. ▪️ In the sims, Purdy is the game's top scorer most often, 28 percent. When the 49ers win big, McCaffrey averages 21.7. If the Commanders pull the upset, Daniels jumps to 24.8 and McLaurin to 15.1. ▪️ For DFS, our top Showdown build captains Brock Purdy with McCaffrey and Kittle, brings it back with Rachaad White, and saves salary with Jacob Cowing. Who are you captaining tonight? Drop it in the comments. #fantasyfootball #fantasyfootballadvice #nfl #week6 #mondaynightfootball

  • Week 6 expected fantasy points report 📊 ▪️ In Week 6, Tre Tucker scored 13.5 more than his usage… – video by @4thanddata , 1.1K views, duration 0:51

    Week 6 expected fantasy points report 📊 ▪️ In Week 6, Tre Tucker scored 13.5 more than his usage was worth. Omar Cooper beat his by 10.7. ▪️ On the other side, CeeDee Lamb came in 15.3 under his usage. A.J. Brown was 12.2 under. ▪️ For the season, Jaxon Smith-Njigba is plus 7.9 a game. A.J. Brown is minus 6.2. ▪️ Michael Wilson has the most usage of anyone below expected, 17.9 a game. He's scoring 11.9. Who surprised you most? #fantasyfootball #fantasyfootballadvice #nfl #week6 #nflfantasy

  • Best Bets, Week 6 📊 ▪️ Our best bets are 20 and 3 this season, up 14.1 units, a 61 percent return… – video by @4thanddata , 23 views, duration 0:36

    Best Bets, Week 6 📊 ▪️ Our best bets are 20 and 3 this season, up 14.1 units, a 61 percent return. ▪️ Dalton Schultz. We like the under on 30 and a half receiving yards and 3 and a half catches. Jacksonville allows 38 receiving yards a game to tight ends, 5th fewest. ▪️ He's gone under 30 and a half receiving yards in 3 of his 5 games. ▪️ Under 3 and a half catches in 3 of 5. Jacksonville allows 6.1 targets a game to tight ends. Are you taking it? Drop it in the comments. #fantasyfootball #fantasyfootballadvice #nfl #week6 #nflbets

  • DFS Value Plays, Week 6 📊 ▪️ Starting at running back. Kyren Williams has a smash matchup against… – video by @4thanddata , 924 views, duration 1:27

    DFS Value Plays, Week 6 📊 ▪️ Starting at running back. Kyren Williams has a smash matchup against the Cardinals. Rhamondre Stevenson is one of our starts this week, at 6,000. Tyler Allgeier costs about 800 dollars less than his projection is worth. Bijan Robinson projects more, but at 8,700 he's priced about right. ▪️ At receiver, Puka Nacua is projected for 24.5 at 8,100. Xavier Worthy is priced 1,100 dollars under his projection. ▪️ At tight end, Isaiah Likely gets 13.9 projected points for 4,800. Tyler Higbee gets the Cardinals, one of our smash spots. ▪️ On defense, the Panthers are 800 dollars cheaper than their projection says, at 2,500. The Ravens are projected for 8.6 at just 3,200. ▪️ The chalk. Puka Nacua is the most popular play at 42 percent, then Drake London and Kyren Williams. ▪️ The best cheap options, 4,500 dollars and under, led by Dallas Goedert at 3,900, projected for 10.2. ▪️ The leverage, the upside the field is passing on. Tetairoa McMillan is only 3 percent owned with a ceiling of 27.7, and Henry is 4 percent. ▪️ The games to target. Bills at Raiders has the highest total on the slate, 53.5, then Bears at Falcons at 49.5. Who's in your lineup? Drop it in the comments. #fantasyfootball #fantasyfootballadvice #nfl #week6 #dfs

  • Smash and Fade, Week 6 📊 ▪️ We grade these calls in public every week, and they've hit 62 percent… – video by @4thanddata , 1.5K views, duration 1:28

    Smash and Fade, Week 6 📊 ▪️ We grade these calls in public every week, and they've hit 62 percent. A smash beats the group's own average. A fade falls short. ▪️ Smash the Rams at all four positions. The Cardinals allow the third most to quarterbacks, and the Rams are projected for 33, the most this week. ▪️ Fade the Jets at quarterback, running back and tight end. They're only projected for 18, the second fewest this week, and the Patriots allow the tenth fewest to quarterbacks. ▪️ Smash the Bills at quarterback, running back and tight end. The Raiders allow the sixth most to quarterbacks, and the Bills are projected for 29 and three quarters, the second most this week. ▪️ Fade the Cardinals at tight end. Now I know what you're thinking, and no, we're never sitting McBride. The Cardinals are only projected for 19 and a half, and the Rams allow the fewest to tight ends. Just don't be surprised if he scores under his usual. ▪️ Smash the 49ers at quarterback, receiver and tight end. The Commanders allow the second most to quarterbacks, and the 49ers are projected for 29, the third most this week. ▪️ Fade the Texans at running back. They're only projected for 19 and three quarters, and the Jaguars allow the third fewest to running backs. ▪️ Smash the Packers at quarterback and receiver. The Cowboys allow the fifth most to quarterbacks, and the Packers are projected for 27, the fourth most this week. Which matchup are you riding this week? Drop it in the comments. #fantasyfootball #fantasyfootballadvice #nfl #week6 #nflfantasy

  • TE Start or Sit, Week 6 📊 ▪️ Start Colston Loveland. The Falcons allow the thirteenth most to… – video by @4thanddata , 2.4K views, duration 0:59

    TE Start or Sit, Week 6 📊 ▪️ Start Colston Loveland. The Falcons allow the thirteenth most to tight ends, and the Bears are projected for 26 and a quarter. That's three stars. ▪️ Sit Dallas Goedert. With Hurts out, it's likely Tanner McKee at quarterback, and he's 3 and a half points over his usage. That's two stars. ▪️ Start Dalton Kincaid. The Raiders allow the sixth most to tight ends, and the Bills are projected for 29 and three quarters. That's three stars. ▪️ Sit Mark Andrews. With Jackson out, it's likely Tyler Huntley at quarterback, and the Ravens are favored by 4 and a half. That's two stars. ▪️ Start Tucker Kraft. The Cowboys allow the sixteenth most to tight ends, and the Packers are projected for 27. That's three stars. ▪️ Sit Jake Ferguson. The Packers allow the eighth fewest to tight ends, and his usage is only worth 7 a game. That's two stars. Not sure who to start this week? Drop your start-sit questions in the comments. #fantasyfootball #fantasyfootballadvice #nfl #week6 #startsit

  • RB Start or Sit, Week 6 📊 ▪️ Start Cam Skattebo. He's 2 and a half points under his usage, and the… – video by @4thanddata , 2.1K views, duration 1:08

    RB Start or Sit, Week 6 📊 ▪️ Start Cam Skattebo. He's 2 and a half points under his usage, and the Saints allow the most to running backs. That's three stars. ▪️ Sit Omarion Hampton. He's only getting 1.2 targets a game, the Chargers are underdogs, and they're only projected for 17. That's no stars. ▪️ Start Rhamondre Stevenson. The Patriots are 7 and a half point favorites, so they should run late, and they're projected for 25 and a half. That's four stars. ▪️ Sit Woody Marks. With Montgomery out, he's the lead back, but the Jaguars allow the third fewest to running backs, and the Texans are only projected for 19 and three quarters. That's no stars. ▪️ Sneaky start Dameon Pierce. If Saquon sits, he's the lead back. The Panthers allow the fourth most to running backs, and he got 5 targets last game. That's three stars. ▪️ Sit Bucky Irving. With Mayfield out, it's likely undrafted rookie Jalon Daniels at quarterback, and he's averaged just 11.8 in their losses. That's two stars. Not sure who to start this week? Drop your start-sit questions in the comments. #fantasyfootball #fantasyfootballadvice #nfl #week6 #startsit

  • QB Start or Sit, Week 6 📊 ▪️ Start Tyler Shough. He's 2 and a half points under his usage, and the… – video by @4thanddata , 2.6K views, duration 1:00

    QB Start or Sit, Week 6 📊 ▪️ Start Tyler Shough. He's 2 and a half points under his usage, and the Giants allow the twelfth most to quarterbacks. That's four stars. ▪️ Sit Aaron Rodgers. There's 16 mile an hour wind in Tampa, and the Steelers, favored by 3, throw just 50 percent when up a touchdown. That's no stars. ▪️ Start Kirk Cousins. The Raiders are 6 point underdogs, they're projected for 23 and three quarters, and it's in a dome. That's four stars. ▪️ Sit CJ Stroud. The Texans are only projected for 19 and three quarters, and the Jaguars allow the eighth fewest to quarterbacks. That's two stars. ▪️ Start Jacoby Brissett. He's 4 points under his usage, and the Rams allow the thirteenth most to quarterbacks. That's four stars. ▪️ Sit Patrick Mahomes. He's 6 points over his usage, and the Chiefs, favored by 8 and a half, throw just 42 percent when up a touchdown. That's two stars. Want our full quarterback rankings? They're free on our X account, @4thandDataFF. #fantasyfootball #fantasyfootballadvice #nfl #week6 #startsit

  • WR Start or Sit, Week 6 📊 ▪️ Start Luther Burden. His usage is worth 13.3 a game, more than he's… – video by @4thanddata , 423 views, duration 1:00

    WR Start or Sit, Week 6 📊 ▪️ Start Luther Burden. His usage is worth 13.3 a game, more than he's been scoring. That's four stars. ▪️ Sit George Pickens. 15 mile an hour wind in Green Bay, gusting to 37, and wind like that cuts passing about 15 percent. That's one star. ▪️ Start Carnell Tate. The Titans are 7 point underdogs, so they'll likely be throwing from behind. That's four stars. ▪️ Sit DK Metcalf. Not only is there 20 mile an hour wind in Tampa, but when the Steelers lead by a touchdown, they throw just 50 percent of the time, down from 66. That's one star. ▪️ Start Michael Wilson. Usage worth 18.9 a game, and he's only scoring 12.8. That's three stars. ▪️ Sit Emeka Egbuka. The Steelers allow the sixth fewest to receivers, it's that same wind, and with Mayfield doubtful, it's likely undrafted rookie Jalon Daniels throwing to him. That's one star. Want our full receiver rankings? They're free on our X account, @4thandDataFF. #fantasyfootball #fantasyfootballadvice #nfl #week6 #startsit

  • TE Rankings, Week 6 📊 ▪️ Bowers leads, with a top-five week in 65 percent of our simulations. He's… – video by @4thanddata , 144 views, duration 0:47

    TE Rankings, Week 6 📊 ▪️ Bowers leads, with a top-five week in 65 percent of our simulations. He's questionable, so check his status before kickoff. The tough draw up here is McBride. The Rams allow the fewest to tight ends. Watch the weather for Kraft, wind gusting to 37. Historically, that much wind cuts passing points about fifteen percent. ▪️ Kelce is scoring 13.2 a game on usage worth just 8.8, so don't count on that every week. Strange has the toughest draw here. The Texans allow the sixth fewest to tight ends. ▪️ One deep sleeper, Oronde Gadsden II, on just 3 percent of rosters. The Chiefs allow the second most to tight ends. Want our full tight end rankings for free? Find them on our X account, @4thandDataFF. #fantasyfootball #fantasyfootballadvice #nfl #week6 #fantasyrankings

  • WR Rankings, Week 6 📊 ▪️ Nacua is alone at the top, a top-five week in 59 percent of our… – video by @4thanddata , 142 views, duration 0:59

    WR Rankings, Week 6 📊 ▪️ Nacua is alone at the top, a top-five week in 59 percent of our simulations. Watch the weather for Lamb, wind gusting to 37. Historically, that much wind cuts passing points about fifteen percent. ▪️ We're higher than the consensus on Davante Adams. The Cardinals allow the seventh most to receivers. We're lower than the consensus on Zay Flowers. He's scoring 20.4 a game on usage worth just 12.7. ▪️ Smith-Njigba is scoring 27.9 on usage worth 18.3. He beat his usage last year too, so some of that is real. But expect down weeks when the Seahawks play with a lead. Wilson is the opposite, 12.8 on usage worth 18.9. ▪️ A sneaky start, Tre Tucker. The Bills allow the most to receivers. When the Raiders trail, only Bowers gets more targets. Want our full receiver rankings for free? Find them on our X account, @4thandDataFF. #fantasyfootball #fantasyfootballadvice #nfl #week6 #fantasyrankings

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